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The Iran–Israel Conflict’s Gulf Escalation: A Test of Peace and Credibility

  As the Iran–Israel–US conflict rolls into its third week, Tehran’s direct missile and drone strikes on Gulf states mark a dramatic escalation from decades-long proxy dynamics. Iran has launched sustained barrages at the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain — two U.S. allies — striking airports, energy hubs, and infrastructure and increasing civilian casualties. This confrontation is now both a humanitarian crisis and a geopolitical test for American credibility in the region. Iran’s Message: Escalation Over Diplomacy Iran’s campaign of attacks across the Gulf is not random. It coincides with U.S. and Israeli operations against Tehran’s assets, bringing conflict well beyond its borders. Gulf air defences have intercepted thousands of missiles and drones, but debris and impacts have hit urban and economic centres, from Dubai’s airport zones to Bahrain’s capital. Oil and gas infrastructure has also taken hits, driving energy prices higher and straining global markets. Analysts see Tehr...

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